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Experts in Front-End Applications

Friday, 18 June 2010

Trend 18 - Follow-Up Report - Test 2

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Trend 18 - Results:

Hello again! Now so far the tests have given us some positive results. We have managed to ascertain that the trend of Up over 7 days, Up over 2 days and then Down on the day of trade, will give us enough good returns to enable us to make a profit. At least we have proved this within the period January 2010 to March 2010. But does it work in a different time frame? Well, let's take a look:

Test 2 - Different Time Frames

Results taken January 2009 - March 2009

Fantastic and interesting results! We have made profit again on six out of the ten trialswith the highest profit being that of the one with the lowest stop in place. Again.

Luckily for this one there is no need to begin looking for exceptions. The maximum/minimum results show that the highs and lows are within suitable parameters so we have a strong possibility that this is going to turn out to be a winner again.

The most interesting part is that we are seing these winnings despite the fact that we have very low winning %. This means that we are actually losing more often than we are winning. However, it also means that our average winnings are much higher than our average losses, thereby giving us the wins we have seen.

So, thus far we have seen that our results have been positive over two differnt time frames. However, both of those timeframe have been from January to arch. This could just be a seasonal trend (which is still not a bad discovery and warrants extra research if it is proven to be a bad trend at the end of the next two tests), and so we must push forward and discover the truth.

Next Test: Longer Time Frame

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