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Friday, 11 June 2010

Trend 18 - Follow-Up Report - Test 1

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Trend 18 - Results:

OK! So in our last test we discovered what looks to be a decent trend. As I said though we are going to have to put this through a very tough investigation. For those that have been reading this blog, you will remember that we thought we havd discovered a trend with Trend 6 because all the indicators were good but the follow-up report really dismissed this idea very quickly.

This one looks more solid, but I am not going to lay down one pound against it until I know we have found a winner! So shall we start:

Test 1 - Exceptions

Looking at the results I can straight away see something that stands out. There is a very large Max running from the 2% line downwards. This looks as though it has had some impact. However, I am not convinced that this is the only reason we have made money here because 1% has still made 41% even without the exception. So what was it?

Well it turns out that it was Brit Insurance Holdings PLC (BRE.L) with a 1 for 4 share consolidation, as well as good news from their annual report. So we have an exception, but what impact does it have on the reports? The answer is % row - None at all, the rest are all shifted down by about 25%.

So even with this exception we still have good trends! (After a thorough check this was the only exception.)

This trend is flying through at the minute! How long will it last?

Check back with me tomorrow and I will see what impact we have had with a different time frame!

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